FootballSims.com

Game simulators Monte Carlo · runs in your browser · no sign-up

Pick any two teams, run up to 100,000 simulated games, and read the win probability, projected scores, fair spread, total and moneylines, and player projections.

NFL Simulator

Drive-level model built from play-by-play EPA for all 32 teams, with player usage mapped to current rosters. Fantasy PPR projections with floor and ceiling for every skill player.

▶ OPEN NFL SIMULATOR

College Football Simulator

All 138 FBS teams rated by ESPN's FPI for the current season, so transfers and roster changes are already priced in. Rivalry games, conference matchups, hypotheticals.

▶ OPEN COLLEGE SIMULATOR
What you get
Win probability
Home / away win % from the full simulation set
Scores
Average, median, floor (10th pct), ceiling (90th pct), most common finals
Fair lines
Spread, total and moneylines with no vig, straight from the model
Players
NFL: passing / rushing / receiving lines and PPR points. College: projected stat lines
Options
10k / 50k / 100k sims, neutral site, swap home and away, Massey ratings as an alternate source